Buzzfeed posted the first Gallop poll of the general election, with President Obama and Mitt Romney pretty much tied. The polls from 1980, 1992, 1996 and 2004 show that whoever was in the lead at this point in the race took the presidency.
Only time will tell what actually happens.
President Obama and Mitt Romney
Photo (cc) taken by Malwack republished here under a Creative Commons license.